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李迅雷:中国经济基本面长期向好

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年11月18日 00:14:13
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(原)(标)(题)(:李)(迅)(雷)(:中)(国)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(长)(期)(向)(好)(外)(资)(看)(好)(A股)(投)(资)(价)(值)(
  一)(系)(列)(迹)(象)(表)(明)(,境)(外)(机)(构)(坚)(定)(看)(好)(中)(国)(资)(本)(市)(场)(投)(资)(价)(值)(和)(发)(展)(前)(景)(,11月)(以)(来)(持)(续)(加)(大)(买)(入)(力)(度)(,境)(外)(资)(金)(呈)(现)(大)(幅)(净)(流)(入)(,未)(来)(A股)(市)(场)(外)(资)(流)(入)(的)(比)(例)(还)(会)(进)(一)(步)(增)(加)(
黄)(紫)(豪)(记)(者)(李)(丹)(丹)(编)(辑)(陈)(羽)(
中)(泰)(证)(券)(研)(究)(所)(所)(长)(、首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(李)(迅)(雷)(25日)(接)(受)(上)(海)(证)(券)(报)(采)(访)(时)(表)(示)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(主)(要)(指)(标)(运)(行)(平)(稳)(,基)(本)(面)(长)(期)(向)(好)(,连)(续)(性)(、稳)(定)(性)(的)(宏)(观)(政)(策)(将)(继)(续)(为)(经)(济)(“保)(驾)(护)(航)(”。
良)(好)(的)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(为)(资)(本)(市)(场)(健)(康)(发)(展)(奠)(定)(了)(基)(石)(。李)(迅)(雷)(指)(出)(,一)(系)(列)(迹)(象)(表)(明)(,境)(外)(机)(构)(坚)(定)(看)(好)(中)(国)(资)(本)(市)(场)(投)(资)(价)(值)(和)(发)(展)(前)(景)(,11月)(以)(来)(持)(续)(加)(大)(买)(入)(力)(度)(,境)(外)(资)(金)(呈)(现)(大)(幅)(净)(流)(入)(,未)(来)(A股)(市)(场)(外)(资)(流)(入)(的)(比)(例)(还)(会)(进)(一)(步)(增)(加)(。
宏)(观)(政)(策)(有)(定)(力)(
为)(经)(济)(“保)(驾)(护)(航)(”
目)(前)(,市)(场)(有)(声)(音)(认)(为)(,明)(年)(经)(济)(面)(临)(较)(大)(的)(下)(行)(压)(力)(。对)(此)(,李)(迅)(雷)(指)(出)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(仍)(然)(处)(于)(相)(对)(稳)(定)(的)(区)(间)(内)(,虽)(然)(明)(年)(有)(一)(定)(的)(下)(行)(压)(力)(,但)(是)(下)(行)(幅)(度)(不)(会)(很)(大)(,预)(计)(明)(年)(GDP增)(速)(在)(6.3%左)(右)(,在)(全)(球)(范)(围)(内)(处)(于)(较)(高)(水)(平)(,“美)(国)(经)(济)(连)(3%的)(增)(长)(率)(都)(较)(难)(实)(现)(,而)(中)(国)(的)(经)(济)(增)(长)(还)(是)(稳)(定)(在)(6%以)(上)(”。
李)(迅)(雷)(说)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(增)(速)(下)(行)(实)(则)(是)(有)(意)(为)(之)(的)(结)(构)(调)(整)(,不)(能)(将)(其)(当)(成)(负)(面)(因)(素)(来)(看)(待)(。目)(前)(中)(国)(经)(济)(已)(经)(呈)(现)(出)(结)(构)(不)(断)(优)(化)(、新)(旧)(动)(能)(接)(续)(转)(换)(、质)(量)(效)(益)(稳)(步)(提)(升)(的)(特)(点)(,新)(产)(业)(、新)(业)(态)(、新)(模)(式)(加)(快)(发)(展)(。
数)(据)(显)(示)(,今)(年)(前)(11个)(月)(中)(高)(端)(制)(造)(业)(加)(快)(布)(局)(,其)(中)(高)(技)(术)(制)(造)(业)(投)(资)(增)(长)(16.1%,装)(备)(制)(造)(业)(投)(资)(增)(长)(11.6%。据)(国)(家)(统)(计)(局)(测)(算)(,2017年)(中)(国)(创)(新)(指)(数)(为)(196.3(以)(2005年)(为)(100),比)(上)(年)(增)(长)(6.8%,表)(明)(我)(国)(创)(新)(环)(境)(进)(一)(步)(优)(化)(,创)(新)(成)(效)(稳)(步)(增)(强)(,创)(新)(能)(力)(向)(高)(质)(量)(发)(展)(要)(求)(稳)(步)(迈)(进)(。
而)(且)(宏)(观)(经)(济)(政)(策)(的)(连)(续)(性)(、稳)(定)(性)(也)(将)(继)(续)(为)(经)(济)(“保)(驾)(护)(航)(”。中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(强)(调)(,宏)(观)(政)(策)(要)(强)(化)(逆)(周)(期)(调)(节)(,继)(续)(实)(施)(积)(极)(的)(财)(政)(政)(策)(和)(稳)(健)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(,适)(时)(预)(调)(微)(调)(,稳)(定)(总)(需)(求)(。
李)(迅)(雷)(预)(计)(,货)(币)(政)(策)(将)(继)(续)(保)(持)(稳)(健)(,明)(年)(随)(着)(通)(胀)(幅)(度)(回)(落)(、人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(稳)(定)(,货)(币)(政)(策)(松)(紧)(适)(度)(,利)(率)(水)(平)(会)(有)(下)(行)(的)(空)(间)(,在)(政)(策)(层)(面)(有)(利)(于)(稳)(定)(企)(业)(盈)(利)(、降)(低)(企)(业)(成)(本)(。同)(时)(,财)(政)(政)(策)(保)(持)(积)(极)(,实)(施)(更)(大)(规)(模)(的)(减)(税)(降)(费)(,有)(利)(于)(降)(低)(企)(业)(费)(用)(和)(成)(本)(。
看)(好)(A股)(投)(资)(价)(值)(
11月)(以)(来)(外)(资)(大)(幅)(净)(流)(入)(
良)(好)(的)(经)(济)(基)(本)(面)(、稳)(定)(的)(宏)(观)(政)(策)(,为)(资)(本)(市)(场)(提)(供)(了)(健)(康)(发)(展)(的)(大)(环)(境)(,也)(赢)(得)(了)(外)(资)(的)(青)(睐)(。
“历)(史)(经)(验)(证)(明)(,外)(资)(看)(好)(并)(买)(入)(A股)(之)(时)(,往)(往)(正)(是)(股)(市)(底)(部)(形)(成)(之)(时)(。”李)(迅)(雷)(表)(示)(,11月)(以)(来)(境)(外)(投)(资)(者)(看)(好)(A股)(市)(场)(,持)(续)(加)(大)(买)(入)(力)(度)(,境)(外)(资)(金)(呈)(现)(大)(幅)(净)(流)(入)(。他)(预)(计)(,未)(来)(A股)(市)(场)(外)(资)(流)(入)(的)(比)(例)(还)(会)(进)(一)(步)(增)(加)(。
他)(援)(引)(数)(据)(称)(,以)(沪)(深)(港)(通)(渠)(道)(为)(例)(,11月)(初)(至)(12月)(21日)(,沪)(深)(港)(通)(渠)(道)(下)(累)(计)(净)(流)(入)(557.3亿)(元)(。其)(中)(,沪)(港)(通)(净)(流)(入)(446.2亿)(元)(,净)(流)(入)(幅)(度)(较)(大)(;深)(港)(通)(净)(流)(入)(111.1亿)(元)(。
“从)(时)(间)(序)(列)(看)(,11月)(1日)(至)(12月)(5日)(,沪)(深)(港)(通)(资)(金)(流)(入)(速)(度)(较)(快)(,期)(间)(累)(计)(净)(流)(入)(659.8亿)(元)(。尤)(其)(是)(11月)(2日)(,沪)(深)(港)(通)(净)(流)(入)(164.6亿)(元)(,创)(历)(史)(单)(日)(净)(流)(入)(新)(高)(。”李)(迅)(雷)(进)(一)(步)(分)(析)(。
与)(此)(同)(时)(,李)(迅)(雷)(提)(到)(,MSCI计)(划)(将)(纳)(入)(中)(国)(A股)(因)(子)(在)(其)(指)(数)(中)(的)(权)(重)(由)(5%提)(升)(至)(20%,并)(在)(2019年)(2月)(28日)(或)(之)(前)(公)(布)(此)(项)(咨)(询)(结)(果)(,也)(显)(示)(境)(外)(机)(构)(坚)(定)(看)(好)(中)(国)(资)(本)(市)(场)(的)(发)(展)(前)(景)(。
对)(于)(市)(场)(颇)(为)(关)(注)(的)(民)(营)(企)(业)(经)(营)(困)(难)(,李)(迅)(雷)(表)(示)(,对)(于)(当)(前)(民)(营)(企)(业)(遇)(到)(的)(结)(构)(调)(整)(当)(中)(的)(困)(难)(,政)(府)(前)(所)(未)(有)(地)(推)(出)(纾)(困)(基)(金)(,给)(予)(民)(营)(企)(业)(更)(好)(的)(政)(策)(,更)(有)(力)(的)(支)(持)(,也)(有)(利)(于)(为)(民)(营)(企)(业)(解)(困)(。国)(家)(高)(度)(重)(视)(民)(营)(企)(业)(发)(展)(,从)(制)(度)(上)(保)(护)(民)(营)(企)(业)(家)(的)(合)(法)(权)(益)(,增)(强)(民)(营)(企)(业)(家)(的)(信)(心)(,促)(进)(民)(营)(企)(业)(健)(康)(发)(展)(。
他)(表)(示)(,中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(提)(出)(,要)(强)(化)(竞)(争)(政)(策)(的)(基)(础)(性)(地)(位)(,创)(造)(公)(平)(竞)(争)(的)(制)(度)(环)(境)(,鼓)(励)(中)(小)(企)(业)(加)(快)(成)(长)(,同)(时)(要)(支)(持)(民)(营)(企)(业)(发)(展)(,营)(造)(法)(治)(化)(环)(境)(,保)(护)(民)(营)(企)(业)(家)(人)(身)(安)(全)(和)(财)(产)(安)(全)(等)(,这)(些)(提)(法)(都)(表)(明)(了)(中)(央)(坚)(定)(支)(持)(民)(营)(企)(业)(的)(态)(度)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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